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Which country will report the highest GDP growth for Q1 2026?

Economy Active

Global economic recovery varies by region with differing policy responses. This market predicts which major economy will report the strongest GDP growth for the first quarter of 2026.

Resolution Date:

Mar 07, 2026 00:00

Total Volume:

$7.29

Traders:

176

Positions:

181

Resolution Rules:

Winner determined by the country with the highest reported GDP growth rate (annualized) for Q1 2026, as published by respective national statistical agencies or IMF data by March 7, 2026.

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Select an Outcome

This is a multi-outcome market. Select which outcome you believe will win. Probabilities must sum to 100%.

United States

Largest global economy

Probability 25.8%
Share Price: $0.51
Volume: $1.71
Login to Buy

China

Major manufacturing hub

Probability 24.9%
Share Price: $0.50
Volume: $2.07
Login to Buy

Germany

EU economic powerhouse

Probability 24.7%
Share Price: $0.49
Volume: $1.58
Login to Buy

India

Rapidly growing emerging market

Probability 24.6%
Share Price: $0.49
Volume: $1.93
Login to Buy

How Multi-Outcome Markets Work

  • • Each outcome has its own probability (share price)
  • • Buy shares in the outcome you think will win
  • • If your outcome wins, each share pays out $1.00
  • • Probabilities adjust based on trading activity
Volume: $7.29 181 positions 4 outcomes

Price History

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Recent Trades

User Type Outcome Shares Price Time
PrimeTrader5506
BUY India yes 2.0612 $0.97 2 weeks ago
ThunderWarrior1565
BUY United States no 1.9214 $1.04 2 weeks ago
CryptoBroker2318
BUY United States no 2.8742 $1.04 2 weeks ago
GigaCobra3318
BUY United States no 3.8183 $1.05 2 weeks ago
BetaEagle3402
BUY United States no 4.7514 $1.05 2 weeks ago
DeltaPhoenix5603
BUY United States no 10.3500 $1.06 2 weeks ago
RocketEagle4490
BUY United States yes 3.1793 $0.94 2 weeks ago
NanoEagle3806
BUY India no 0.9686 $1.03 2 weeks ago
SigmaDealer8752
BUY India yes 3.1004 $0.97 2 weeks ago
MysticPro1700
BUY India no 1.9403 $1.03 2 weeks ago
CosmicNinja1224
BUY India no 6.7482 $1.04 2 weeks ago
TurboTrader3464
BUY China no 2.0370 $0.98 2 weeks ago
LaserSniper8488
BUY Germany no 4.9077 $1.02 2 weeks ago
AlphaBroker7847
BUY India yes 1.0363 $0.96 2 weeks ago
NeonLion2371
BUY China yes 2.9649 $1.01 2 weeks ago
MegaChampion5649
BUY India yes 1.0325 $0.97 2 weeks ago
ElectricWizard1802
BUY China no 9.0909 $0.99 2 weeks ago
NeonShark6919
BUY Germany no 1.9560 $1.02 2 weeks ago
DigitalScout7591
BUY Germany yes 3.0506 $0.98 2 weeks ago
LaserPlayer389
BUY Germany no 0.9806 $1.02 2 weeks ago
ShadowTiger6717
BUY Germany no 1.9722 $1.01 2 weeks ago
PixelShark8722
BUY India no 0.9695 $1.03 2 weeks ago
DeltaDealer6366
BUY China yes 4.9276 $1.01 2 weeks ago
CosmicPhoenix5767
BUY China no 8.0583 $0.99 2 weeks ago
HyperPro8621
BUY China yes 1.9819 $1.01 2 weeks ago
ApexHawk5992
BUY Germany no 3.9192 $1.02 2 weeks ago
PhantomAce8929
BUY India yes 10.3110 $0.97 2 weeks ago
TechNinja632
BUY China no 2.0242 $0.99 2 weeks ago
LaserWarrior3196
BUY Germany yes 3.0395 $0.99 2 weeks ago
MegaTiger3972
BUY China no 2.0408 $0.98 2 weeks ago
AtomicHawk7126
BUY China yes 0.9862 $1.01 2 weeks ago
CosmicQueen9536
BUY United States yes 11.4291 $0.96 2 weeks ago
AlphaLion9688
BUY United States yes 2.1081 $0.95 2 weeks ago
AtomicScout1618
BUY India no 3.8428 $1.04 2 weeks ago
GigaNinja2628
BUY Germany yes 1.0122 $0.99 2 weeks ago
NanoWolf8567
BUY China yes 10.7600 $1.02 2 weeks ago
MysticBear1233
BUY India no 8.7471 $1.03 2 weeks ago
RocketWarrior2427
BUY India no 12.5349 $1.04 2 weeks ago
PrimeCobra3400
BUY India yes 1.0301 $0.97 2 weeks ago
ThunderBear4369
BUY India yes 10.2052 $0.98 2 weeks ago
NeonCobra1594
BUY United States yes 5.2079 $0.96 2 weeks ago
TurboBear8696
BUY United States no 11.3939 $1.05 2 weeks ago
TechTrader2932
BUY United States no 0.9486 $1.05 2 weeks ago
ThunderNinja2012
BUY United States no 1.8938 $1.06 2 weeks ago
QuantumBeast536
BUY United States yes 4.2000 $0.95 2 weeks ago
ShadowBear8176
BUY United States no 13.6163 $1.03 2 weeks ago
DeltaRaider5367
BUY Germany yes 3.0568 $0.98 2 weeks ago
TurboWarrior6293
BUY India no 11.7103 $1.02 2 weeks ago
ShadowCobra2562
BUY United States no 4.8401 $1.03 2 weeks ago
ApexPlayer5145
BUY United States no 13.3760 $1.05 2 weeks ago