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Will U.S. unemployment rate drop below 4% by February 28, 2026?

Economy Active

Unemployment rates are a key indicator of economic health amid inflation and policy shifts. This market predicts whether labor market strength will push rates to a low threshold soon.

Resolution Date:

Feb 28, 2026 00:00

Total Volume:

$8.45

Traders:

169

Positions:

175

Resolution Rules:

Outcome is 'Yes' if the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports an unemployment rate below 4% in any monthly report released by February 28, 2026.

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Place Your Bet

YES

Event will happen

Price

$0.50

49.5% chance

Login to Buy YES

NO

Event will not happen

Price

$0.51

50.5% chance

Login to Buy NO
Volume: $8.45 175 positions

Price History

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Recent Trades

User Type Outcome Shares Price Time
PixelWolf4949
BUY No no 9.9833 $1.10 2 weeks ago
CosmicNinja8675
BUY Yes no 7.0059 $1.00 2 weeks ago
MysticPlayer1898
BUY Yes yes 10.8893 $1.01 2 weeks ago
NanoQueen9266
BUY Yes yes 6.8891 $1.02 2 weeks ago
ShadowTiger9645
BUY Yes no 8.0741 $0.99 2 weeks ago
MegaHunter887
BUY No no 5.5816 $1.08 2 weeks ago
ThunderAce4271
BUY No yes 4.3920 $0.91 2 weeks ago
TurboWizard3237
BUY Yes yes 10.8000 $1.02 2 weeks ago
BlazeBeast1059
BUY Yes yes 1.9604 $1.02 2 weeks ago
BlazeKing4392
BUY No yes 11.7683 $0.93 2 weeks ago
CryptoLegend8688
BUY No yes 1.0834 $0.92 2 weeks ago
TechPlayer9115
BUY No yes 2.1882 $0.91 2 weeks ago
CryptoQueen7075
BUY No yes 1.0979 $0.91 2 weeks ago
TurboTiger3783
BUY No no 0.9100 $1.10 2 weeks ago
ElectricPro623
BUY No no 9.1559 $1.09 2 weeks ago
CosmicShark7802
BUY No yes 5.3520 $0.93 2 weeks ago
CyberWizard6502
BUY No yes 11.8796 $0.93 2 weeks ago
DeltaQueen429
BUY No yes 4.3611 $0.92 2 weeks ago
BetaBeast670
BUY No yes 2.1920 $0.91 2 weeks ago
MysticDragon3381
BUY No no 3.7251 $1.07 2 weeks ago
OmegaTiger9533
BUY Yes no 2.0154 $0.99 2 weeks ago
HyperPro9488
BUY Yes no 2.0190 $0.99 2 weeks ago
OmegaCobra4825
BUY Yes yes 9.8219 $1.02 2 weeks ago
PrimePlayer4314
BUY No no 0.9173 $1.09 2 weeks ago
SuperWizard5577
BUY No no 9.9911 $1.10 2 weeks ago
QuantumBeast2832
BUY No yes 3.2735 $0.92 2 weeks ago
TechLegend5912
BUY Yes no 1.0156 $0.98 2 weeks ago
AlphaBull8440
BUY No no 8.2729 $1.09 2 weeks ago
BetaBull9709
BUY No no 5.4881 $1.09 2 weeks ago
AtomicViper642
BUY No no 1.8264 $1.10 2 weeks ago
TechLegend7406
BUY Yes no 1.0068 $0.99 2 weeks ago
BlazeKing2098
BUY Yes yes 1.9814 $1.01 2 weeks ago
AtomicSniper7688
BUY No yes 1.0941 $0.91 2 weeks ago
ThunderBeast2197
BUY No yes 6.5062 $0.92 2 weeks ago
CosmicHunter624
BUY No yes 11.9929 $0.92 2 weeks ago
RocketLegend768
BUY No yes 2.1784 $0.92 2 weeks ago
DigitalSniper5787
BUY Yes no 12.0923 $0.99 2 weeks ago
ElectricBeast2573
BUY Yes no 5.0562 $0.99 2 weeks ago
TurboEagle3754
BUY Yes no 9.1487 $0.98 2 weeks ago
HyperHawk613
BUY No no 0.9165 $1.09 2 weeks ago
PixelKing3573
BUY Yes yes 18.8346 $1.01 2 weeks ago
ThunderPhoenix4358
BUY No no 9.2134 $1.09 2 weeks ago
AlphaPlayer7304
BUY No yes 2.1526 $0.93 2 weeks ago
CryptoHawk322
BUY Yes no 2.0140 $0.99 2 weeks ago
NeonWarrior140
BUY Yes yes 19.5210 $1.02 2 weeks ago
ThunderTiger3935
BUY No no 0.9206 $1.09 2 weeks ago
HyperLion2889
BUY No no 7.3223 $1.09 2 weeks ago
BetaKing7186
BUY No yes 14.0377 $0.93 2 weeks ago
PixelAce6887
BUY No yes 1.0853 $0.92 2 weeks ago
SigmaChampion7619
BUY Yes yes 12.8965 $1.01 2 weeks ago